Laurel Lee
Florida's 15th congressional district
FL-15 Midterms Intelligence
Laurel Lee sits in a still-Republican but softening Tampa exurban seat: FL-15 is R+12, yet Democrats have gained 5 points, signaling a district that is no longer on autopilot. The electorate is younger and family-oriented, with a sizable Hispanic presence at 27.5% and a notable veteran footprint that reinforces Lee’s law-and-order, national-security profile. Economically, this is a homeowner district with middle-class aspirations, but its politics are shaped by fast growth, suburban churn, and a constituency that wants competence more than ideological drama.
For advocates, the opening is pragmatic, not partisan. Lee’s committee perch on Energy and Commerce and Judiciary makes issues like healthcare access, public safety, immigration, and cost pressures especially salient in a district with 11.3% uninsured and healthcare/education employing 22.7% of workers. The best frame is stability for working families and local institutions—lower costs, stronger systems, safer communities—while avoiding culture-war packaging that can harden this still-GOP electorate.
Economic & Demographic Snapshot
Data sourced from U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-Year Estimates (2017-2021 vs. 2019-2023). All figures are statistical estimates with 90% confidence level.
Florida District 15 Demographics
Median Age 38.5 (vs 38.5) · Homeownership 65.4% (vs 65.5%) · Bachelor’s+ 33.9% (vs 33.7%) · Poverty 9.7% (vs 12.4%) · Income $71,624 (vs $37,585)
Age Distribution
Near the national median age (38.5 vs 38.5 nationally). The largest age cohort is 30–39 at 14.1%.
Race & Ethnicity
A majority-minority district. White residents are the largest group at 54.4%. Also significant: Hispanic (27.5%), Black (14.3%).
* Hispanic includes respondents of any race. Racial categories include both Hispanic and non-Hispanic individuals.
Education
33.9% hold a bachelor’s degree or higher, above the 33.7% national average. 10.8% of residents lack a high school diploma.
Income Distribution
Median household income is $71,624, well above the $37,585 national median.
Housing
Homeownership at 65.4% (vs 65.5% nationally). Median rent is $1,490. Median home value is $326,300.
How People Get to Work
67% drive alone. Average commute is 28.6 minutes.
Florida District 15 FAQ
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