Representative Kevin Mullin, Democratic from California

Kevin Mullin

California's 15th congressional district

CA-15 Midterms Intelligence

Kevin Mullin sits in one of the country’s safest Democratic seats, a D+46 Bay Area district where the real politics are coalition management, not general-election survival. CA-15 is affluent and highly educated, with median income at $149,727 and home values topping $1,414,500, but its defining feature is an Asian plurality at 37.7% alongside a sizable Hispanic population. That creates a pragmatic, culturally diverse electorate that rewards technocratic competence, especially on transportation, infrastructure, and quality-of-life issues more than ideological theater.

For advocates, this is a message-testing district for innovation framed through affordability and community stability. Voters are comfortable with ambitious policy, but the pressure point is cost: high rents and home prices make even a wealthy district feel squeezed. Mullin’s Energy and Commerce perch makes technology, communications, health access, and climate-adjacent infrastructure especially live lanes; campaigns should lead with delivery, resilience, and consumer protection, not partisan urgency. The opening here is coalition building across professional-class voters and service-dependent communities.

Representative Kevin Mullin represents California's 15th congressional district, serving 738,509 constituents. The district has an estimated median household income of $149,727 and an unemployment rate of 5.2%.

Economic & Demographic Snapshot

738,509Population
↓ 13,556
$149,727Median Incomenat'l $37,585
↑ $10,259
5.2%Unemploymentnat'l 3.5%
↑ 0.3%
4.7%Poverty Ratenat'l 12.4%
↑ 0.3%
57.4%Homeownershipnat'l 65.5%
→ no change
$2,849Median Rentnat'l $1,163
↑ $111
7.8%Public Transitnat'l 5%
→ no change
27.2 minMean Commutenat'l 26.4 min
↓ 1.5 min

Data sourced from U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-Year Estimates (2017-2021 vs. 2019-2023). All figures are statistical estimates with 90% confidence level.

California District 15 Demographics

Median Age 40.7 (vs 38.5) · Homeownership 57.4% (vs 65.5%) · Bachelor’s+ 49.1% (vs 33.7%) · Poverty 4.7% (vs 12.4%) · Income $149,727 (vs $37,585)

Key Issues for This District
Immigration policyEducation accessRent burden

Age Distribution

Skews older than the national average (median age 40.7 vs 38.5 nationally). The largest age cohort is 30–39 at 15.7%.

Race & Ethnicity

A majority-minority district. Also significant: White (30.6%), Hispanic (25.9%).

* Hispanic includes respondents of any race. Racial categories include both Hispanic and non-Hispanic individuals.

Education

Highly educated: 49.1% hold a bachelor’s degree or higher, well above the 33.7% national average. 12% of residents lack a high school diploma. 20.2% hold a post-graduate degree.

Income Distribution

Median household income is $149,727, well above the $37,585 national median.

Housing

Homeownership at 57.4% (vs 65.5% nationally). Median rent is $2,849. Median home value is $1,414,500.

How People Get to Work

55.1% drive alone. Average commute is 27.2 minutes.

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey (ACS) 5-Year Estimates
Data represents 5-year statistical estimates for increased reliability.

California District 15 FAQ

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