Jim Costa
California's 21st congressional district
CA-21 Midterms Intelligence
Costa is a 20-year Democratic fixture in a Central Valley seat that still behaves like a swing district: D+5 on paper, but rated 95% competitive with a recent R shift of +3. The defining electorate is young and heavily Latino (64.9% Hispanic; median age 31.9), layered over an economy anchored by farmwork and food processing. Costa’s Agriculture and Foreign Affairs posts reinforce his brand as a pragmatic deliverer on water, trade, and labor-dependent growth, not a culture-war Democrat.
For advocates, the leverage point is economic insecurity: 18.0% poverty and 28.4% SNAP create receptivity to pocketbook and access frames. Campaigns win by tying policy to irrigation reliability, food prices, and healthcare affordability, while signaling respect for farm jobs and small business. The strategic twist is turnout and persuasion: mobilize younger Latino voters while inoculating against “Democrats don’t get the Valley” attacks by centering local deliverables over national messaging.
Economic & Demographic Snapshot
Data sourced from U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-Year Estimates (2017-2021 vs. 2019-2023). All figures are statistical estimates with 90% confidence level.
California District 21 Demographics
Median Age 31.9 (vs 38.5) · Homeownership 52.1% (vs 65.5%) · Bachelor’s+ 17.2% (vs 33.7%) · Poverty 18% (vs 12.4%) · Income $64,764 (vs $37,585)
Age Distribution
Skews younger than the national average (median age 31.9 vs 38.5 nationally). 30% of residents are in the 20–39 working-age bracket — housing affordability, student debt, and workforce messaging indexes high.
Race & Ethnicity
A majority-minority district. Hispanic residents are the largest group at 64.9%. Also significant: White (29.3%).
* Hispanic includes respondents of any race. Racial categories include both Hispanic and non-Hispanic individuals.
Education
Only 17.2% hold a bachelor’s degree or higher, significantly below the 33.7% national average. 25.7% of residents lack a high school diploma.
Income Distribution
Median household income is $64,764, well above the $37,585 national median.
Housing
Homeownership at 52.1% (vs 65.5% nationally). Median rent is $1,293. Median home value is $334,100.
How People Get to Work
Car-dependent: 72.7% drive alone to work. Average commute is 23.3 minutes.
California District 21 FAQ
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This district is in play. Representative Costa focuses on Health, Agriculture and Food and Water Resources Development. Deliver personalized constituent letters to California's federal, state, and local officials — live in under five minutes.
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