Gil Cisneros
California's 31st congressional district
CA-31 Midterms Intelligence
Gil Cisneros sits in a safely Democratic Inland Empire/San Gabriel Valley seat that is less about partisan volatility than coalition management. CA-31 is D+19 and 61.3% Hispanic, with a sizable Asian population and a middle-class profile that masks real cost pressure. Cisneros’s committee mix—Small Business and Armed Services—fits a district where upward mobility, public-sector stability, and pragmatic economic messaging travel better than ideological appeals. The politics here are stable, but not sleepy: turnout and persuasion still hinge on whether Democrats speak credibly to affordability and local economic security.
For advocates, this is a pocketbook district first. Median income is $91,699, but that is squeezed by a $1,980 median rent and a steep housing market, making cost of living the cleanest entry point on almost any issue. Messages that connect small-business growth, workforce pipelines, veterans, and healthcare access to family stability will land; abstract national framing will not. Strategically, the opening is to pair economic competence with culturally fluent outreach to a heavily Latino electorate and diverse suburban households.
Economic & Demographic Snapshot
Data sourced from U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-Year Estimates (2017-2021 vs. 2019-2023). All figures are statistical estimates with 90% confidence level.
California District 31 Demographics
Median Age 39.1 (vs 38.5) · Homeownership 59.2% (vs 65.5%) · Bachelor’s+ 25.4% (vs 33.7%) · Poverty 8.8% (vs 12.4%) · Income $91,699 (vs $37,585)
Age Distribution
Near the national median age (39.1 vs 38.5 nationally). The largest age cohort is 30–39 at 14.0%.
Race & Ethnicity
A majority-minority district. Hispanic residents are the largest group at 61.3%. Also significant: White (21.5%), Asian (19.7%).
* Hispanic includes respondents of any race. Racial categories include both Hispanic and non-Hispanic individuals.
Education
25.4% hold a bachelor’s degree or higher, below the 33.7% national average. 21.8% of residents lack a high school diploma.
Income Distribution
Median household income is $91,699, well above the $37,585 national median.
Housing
Homeownership at 59.2% (vs 65.5% nationally). Median rent is $1,980. Median home value is $699,500.
How People Get to Work
Car-dependent: 71.1% drive alone to work. Average commute is 30.4 minutes.
California District 31 FAQ
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