Jim Jordan
Ohio's 4th congressional district
OH-4 Midterms Intelligence
Jim Jordan’s 4th is one of the safest Republican seats in the Midwest: an R+37 district that has rewarded his combative, nationalized brand for 19 years. But the seat is not just ideological—it is structurally conservative, anchored by older, overwhelmingly white small-town and exurban voters with a deep homeownership culture and a manufacturing base that still matters. Manufacturing accounts for 19.7% of employment, giving the district a blue-collar economic identity even as Jordan’s power comes more from movement politics and media visibility than local appropriations.
For advocates, this is not a persuasion district so much as a validation district: messages work when they reinforce self-reliance, local employers, and resistance to federal overreach. The opening is economic and quality-of-life, not partisan conversion—especially around workforce strain, health burdens, and family stability in a district with 38.4% obesity and 26.0% depression. Tie any ask to protecting manufacturers, lowering costs, and giving local institutions flexibility; culture-war framing can drown out almost anything else, so campaigns need a trusted local validator and a business-first rationale.
Economic & Demographic Snapshot
Data sourced from U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-Year Estimates (2017-2021 vs. 2019-2023). All figures are statistical estimates with 90% confidence level.
Ohio District 4 Demographics
Median Age 40.2 (vs 38.5) · Homeownership 73.7% (vs 65.5%) · Bachelor’s+ 29.5% (vs 33.7%) · Poverty 7.1% (vs 12.4%) · Income $78,746 (vs $37,585)
Age Distribution
Near the national median age (40.2 vs 38.5 nationally). The largest age cohort is 10–19 at 13.5%.
Race & Ethnicity
White residents are the largest group at 85.7%.
* Hispanic includes respondents of any race. Racial categories include both Hispanic and non-Hispanic individuals.
Education
29.5% hold a bachelor’s degree or higher, below the 33.7% national average.
Income Distribution
Median household income is $78,746, well above the $37,585 national median.
Housing
Homeownership at 73.7% (vs 65.5% nationally). Median rent is $969. Median home value is $225,000.
How People Get to Work
Car-dependent: 76.9% drive alone to work. Average commute is 23.4 minutes.
Ohio District 4 FAQ
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