Mark Alford
Missouri's 4th congressional district
MO-4 Midterms Intelligence
Mark Alford sits in one of Missouri’s safest Republican seats, a stable R+46 district where Democrats average just 27.1% and cultural conservatism is reinforced by a heavily white, older, veteran-tinged electorate. The district’s identity is less purely rural than its politics suggest: agriculture matters, but the real backbone is a mix of manufacturing and small-town service economies, with high homeownership and a strong anti-Washington streak. Alford’s committee profile—Small Business and Appropriations—fits a constituency that wants federal dollars without federal intrusion.
For advocates, the opening is economic pragmatism, not ideology. Manufacturing’s 11.6% footprint, a 9.2% veteran share, and persistent health strain—obesity at 37.2%—make workforce, rural health access, and supply-chain resilience more potent frames than climate or equity language. Campaigns should be built around jobs, local employers, and community stability, especially for sheriffs, hospitals, farm groups, and chambers. The strategic play is to tie any ask to district durability and national strength; values-first messaging will lose to pocketbook proof.
Economic & Demographic Snapshot
Data sourced from U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-Year Estimates (2017-2021 vs. 2019-2023). All figures are statistical estimates with 90% confidence level.
Missouri District 4 Demographics
Median Age 38.7 (vs 38.5) · Homeownership 71.1% (vs 65.5%) · Bachelor’s+ 25.2% (vs 33.7%) · Poverty 8.4% (vs 12.4%) · Income $67,043 (vs $37,585)
Age Distribution
Near the national median age (38.7 vs 38.5 nationally). The largest age cohort is 10–19 at 13.8%.
Race & Ethnicity
White residents are the largest group at 85.4%.
* Hispanic includes respondents of any race. Racial categories include both Hispanic and non-Hispanic individuals.
Education
25.2% hold a bachelor’s degree or higher, below the 33.7% national average. 8.9% of residents lack a high school diploma.
Income Distribution
Median household income is $67,043, well above the $37,585 national median.
Housing
Homeownership at 71.1% (vs 65.5% nationally). Median rent is $966. Median home value is $220,200.
How People Get to Work
Car-dependent: 75.6% drive alone to work. Average commute is 24.1 minutes.
Missouri District 4 FAQ
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