Tim Sheehy
State of Montana
Montana Senate Intelligence
Freshman Sen. Tim Sheehy represents a deeply Republican but not politically sleepy Montana: the state leans R+19, yet its streak of ticket-splitting and anti-establishment politics keeps incumbents attentive to local credibility. His profile fits the state’s mood—military, veterans, and public-lands-inflected conservatism—with committee posts on Armed Services, Commerce, and Veterans’ Affairs aligning closely with a state where veterans make up 9.0% of the population. The core constituency tension is between a culturally conservative, rural electorate and a pragmatic Western swing bloc focused less on ideology than on access, cost, and federal responsiveness.
For advocates, the opening is to frame asks through service, self-reliance, and Montana capacity—not Washington problem-solving. Agriculture still matters, but healthcare and education now account for 23.2% of employment, creating a broader stake in workforce, rural access, and infrastructure; that matters in a state with a median age of 40.4 and 14.5% disability. Appeals that tie defense, transportation, and veteran services to jobs and community stability will travel; culture-war framing or national partisan messaging will not.
Economic & Demographic Snapshot
Data sourced from U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-Year Estimates (2017-2021 vs. 2019-2023). All figures are statistical estimates with 90% confidence level.
Montana State Demographics
Median Age 40.4 (vs 38.5) · Homeownership 69.2% (vs 65.5%) · Bachelor’s+ 35.2% (vs 33.7%) · Poverty 6.7% (vs 12.4%) · Income $72,509 (vs $37,585)
Age Distribution
Near the national median age (40.4 vs 38.5 nationally). The largest age cohort is 60–69 at 13.8%.
Race & Ethnicity
White residents are the largest group at 85%.
* Hispanic includes respondents of any race. Racial categories include both Hispanic and non-Hispanic individuals.
Education
35.2% hold a bachelor’s degree or higher, above the 33.7% national average.
Income Distribution
Median household income is $72,509, well above the $37,585 national median.
Housing
Homeownership at 69.2% (vs 65.5% nationally). Median rent is $1,081. Median home value is $375,800.
How People Get to Work
Car-dependent: 71.1% drive alone to work. Average commute is 19.1 minutes.
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